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Temperatures to stay above normal

October 06, 2007|By MATTHEW UMSTEAD

HAGERSTOWN - It might be a while before area residents will be feeling the autumn weather described by 19th-century poet James Whitcomb Riley.

Frost isn't in the forecast for the week ahead, and temperatures are not expected to drop close to seasonal averages of about 70 degrees until the middle of next week, AccuWeather meteorologist Andy Mussoline said Friday.

"It's still a little early to be classified as an Indian Summer," Mussoline said of the warm temperatures in October.

Average temperatures for the month of September were 3.2 degrees higher than normal, Mussoline said.

"That is fairly substantial, when you talk about an entire month," he said.

Mussoline said the abnormal heat and nighttime lows in the mid-60s have extended into the Southeast and the Midwest.

By Wednesday or Thursday of next week, however, Mussoline said weather models indicate the "stubborn" high pressure area responsible for the heat and dry conditions will begin to break down and trend toward more normal conditions.

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For this weekend, daily high temperatures predicted to be in the 80s and close to Hagerstown's record highs in the 90s set more than 60 years ago will make Riley's folksy description of autumn still seem far off.

Warmth continues

The following are the average, record, and forecasted high temperatures for the next three days.

· Saturday

Average - 70

Record - 92

Forecast - 86

· Sunday

Average - 70

Record - 94

Forecast - 86

· Monday

Average - 70

Record - 90

Forecast - 88

"When the frost is on the punkin and the fodder's in the shock,

And you hear the kyouck and gobble of the struttin' turkey-cock,

And the clackin' of the guineys, and the cluckin' of the hens,

And the rooster's hallylooyer as he tiptoes on the fence; O, it's then the time a feller is a-feelin' at his best ..."

- James Whitcomb Riley

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